Creating new perspectives since 2009
Items by Tamer Ajrami
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America’s war-based economy still strengthens its rivals — and Trump is accelerating this
For more than two decades, experience has shown a clear pattern: whenever the United States rushes into wars, it does not weaken its enemies as it expects. Instead, it often opens wide doors for them to grow, expand, and build influence. The question is no longer whether rival powers benefit…
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Saudi Arabia is pulling Europe toward a “Gulf Helsinki” deal with Iran — because Washington failed
When military power fails to impose “deterrence,” oil becomes politics. And the Strait of Hormuz is now writing Gulf security rules instead of the Pentagon. With Hormuz still closed and the emergency oil stock releases used to calm markets running down, prices are moving _ no matter how much some…
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Gulf States have nothing but to talk to Iran, NOW
Here is what Washington missed: the Gulf is not a chessboard where outside powers can “manage escalation” and still keep business as usual. The Gulf is a narrow geography with one choke point, one energy artery, and one unavoidable neighbor with leverage. When the Strait of Hormuz becomes the battleground,…
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America as a war economy: Eisenhower’s warning that still runs Washington
One of the strangest things about U.S. politics is this: many countries look for reasons first, then go to war. Washington often does the opposite. It decides on war first, then changes the justification as pressure rises and as it needs to “sell” the decision at home and abroad. We…
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Hormuz is the war’s invoice—and Washington can’t pay it
What Washington Missed? Closing the Strait of Hormuz is not a side detail. It is the main pressure point. Every day the strait stays shut adds a new layer of cost to the global economy; and the shock travels back to the United States fast. This is not only about…
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What kind of colonialism is Trump deploying in the Middle East?
As a Political Science student who studies peace-building in the Middle East, I want to start with something a scholar named Edward Said taught us: pay attention to the language first. Not the bombs, not the speeches about “peace,” not the media event. The language. Because power rarely calls itself…
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What if Khamenei died in his bed and Trump did not kill him?
If Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei had died in his bed, from illness or old age, his death could have been more dangerous for the Iranian system than many people think. A natural death would have opened a sensitive moment inside the regime: Who replaces him? Can the elites agree?…
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Why is Iran striking Gulf states, punishing Washington or making more enemies?
The question sounds simple, but it goes beyond “military retaliation”. Why would Iran hit Gulf countries while saying its real enemies are the United States and Israel? And does this tactic actually help Iran, or does it weaken Iran politically and leave it isolated in the region? The most realistic…
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Trump fell into Iran’s trap
President Trump is not only failing to learn from history. He is also failing to learn from what is happening right now. This was not a small tactical mistake. Trump walked into a war with no exit plan, then realised too late that Iran had set the battlefield for a…
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The war on Iran started with missiles, but oil price can end it
The war began with airstrikes and missiles. But the turning point may come from the economy. In this fight, Iran is trying to win by raising the cost, and oil is its strongest card. Iran’s idea is simple: it cannot match the United States in air power or spending, so…
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Chaos without a goal: Why Washington’s war on Iran looks like a dangerous fiasco
Washington acts like it knows what it wants from Iran, but it is moving in the opposite direction: a war without a clear goal. There are many statements, loud threats, and talk of “total surrender,” but no realistic plan that answers basic questions: What is victory? How do you reach…
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Why Trump’s war on Iran will fail
The United States has turned the talks with Iran upside down. What is happening now does not look like serious negotiations. It looks more like a way to buy time and prepare for a more dangerous phase. That is why two questions matter: Why Trump’s war on Iran will not…
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Peace in name only: Why Trump’s Board of Peace does not help Gaza?
While children in Gaza search for warmth inside tents and broken buildings, Washington hosts meetings under the title of a new “Board of Peace” launched by President Donald Trump. The name sounds important. But the questions are even bigger. In Gaza, children do not hear conference speeches. They are not…
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The Gaza Technocratic Committee will fail. Why?
It is clear that the current situation in Gaza, and what is being planned for the post-war period, goes beyond temporary administrative arrangements. It is part of a broader path related to governance and future control in the Gaza Strip. Instead of the next phase helping to stop the violence,…
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A silent annexation swallows the West Bank while attention turns to Iran, why?
At a time when Israel and the United States are preparing to launch strikes on Iran (which may be wide strikes), we notice that Israel is taking very dangerous steps in the West Bank. The problem is that the West Bank does not receive enough media coverage, and many people…
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Why is the Rafah Crossing no longer a gateway?
What is happening at the Rafah Crossing is not a temporary problem. It is not a technical failure. Rafah has been deliberately changed by the Israeli army after it completely occupied Rafah city in the southern Gaza Strip. It is no longer a border crossing. It now works like a…
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Israel’s recognition of the State of Somaliland: Why now?
On 26 December, Israel took the unprecedented step of officially recognizing Somaliland as an independent state. This decision, ending decades of hesitation, makes Israel the first UN member state to grant legitimacy to the breakaway region. For many observers, this might seem like a distant diplomatic manoeuvre in the Horn…
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Why Jabalia?
For 20 days now, the occupation army has been committing massacres that have caught the attention of the entire world in Jabalia and the city’s refugee camp. Everyone is asking what makes this small spot the subject of this continuous destruction. This narrow area, which does not exceed 1.4 square…
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Why does the Biden administration not want a ceasefire in Gaza?
One of the most important questions raised by the recent events since the beginning of the Gaza war is the following: Why doesn’t US President Joe Biden’s administration want a ceasefire in Gaza? The answer is that the US agrees with Israel in its declared goal of eliminating Hamas. There…
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My uncle died fighting for Palestine’s freedom
The story of my uncle, Brigadier General Hassan Muhammad Mustafa Al-Ajrami, is not merely one of individual heroism, but a saga woven into the tapestry of Palestine’s enduring struggle for liberation. Born on 1 December, 1951, amidst the harsh realities of the Jabaliya refugee camp, my uncle’s early years were…
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When war strikes the innocent
I want to share with you the story of my uncle’s death at the hands of the so-called Israel “Defence” Forces. He was killed along with his entire family, including his grandchildren. It was heart-breaking news to receive, revealing that in times of war our collective humanity is lost in…
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Al-Aqsa Flood: Why now?
Why did the Palestinian resistance choose this sensitive timing to execute the massive operation “Al-Aqsa Flood”? What are the reasons that prompted them to launch it at this particular moment? To begin the discussion, we should draw lessons from history. Palestine is a living model of colonialism and settlement. History…