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Iran-Israel stand-off: Is attack on Iran likely?

Israel’s alleged plans to attack Iran amidst Hezbollah’s harsh threats to Israel will prove to be detrimental for both countries and also for the entire West Asia region towards arriving at an amicable solution between them on the controversial nuclear issue continuing unabated.

With reports of probable attack by Israel on nuclear installations of Iran, the battle for psychological ascendancy between the Iran-Syria-Hezbollah alliance and Israel has escalated sharply on Friday just gone by. While supporting Iran, Hezbollah’s Secretary General Mr. Hasan Nasrallah threatened bluntly to retaliate by massive missile strikes deep inside Israel in case it attacked on Iran. Invoking imagery possibly resulting from counter-strikes against Israel’s nuclear facilities, Mr. Narsallah said that retaliation by his battle hardened organisation would kill thousands and make life “hell” inside the country. Continuing with his tirade against Israel, he said: “I tell the Israelis that you have a number of targets, not a large number… that can be hit with precision rockets… which we have.”


In fact, Nasrallah’s such threat follows because of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defence Minister Ehud Barak along with influential sections of the country are, now, reported to be forcefully advocating a war against Iran despite strong opposition from the military generals, security experts and prominent personalities of Israeli administration. According to a British news-paper, ‘The Sun’, the Israeli military hopes to attack- by the end of October or in the beginning of November this year- on a confidential uranium processing centre in Iran known as Fordo plant about which Iran had never disclosed to the West. It was only in September, 2009 that the western intelligence agencies could know about this plant, thereby, further escalating the already tense relations between Iran and the west including Israel.

Further, as per British reports, this time Israel is ready to attack Iran even with-out American support as it (America) is busy in its Presidential elections. The Israeli forces are reported to be seen in the deserts of Iraq, giving rise to the suspicion of making foundation for themselves for any likely ground attacks on Iran. But such possibility is quite remote as no sovereign country has a right to attack on another sovereign country. Consequently, Israel has no right to attack on Iran on grounds of mere suspicions. There are other fora like United Nations, regional fora or global movements like the Non-Aligned Movement whose good offices may be obtained in peaceful resolution of such controversy.

Against this backdrop, although Mr. Nasrallah’s remarks appear to have a more immediate and specific context, yet they do have enough potential of far reaching consequences because this may, on the one hand, aggravate the on-going stand-off between Iran and Israel and added with the continuing turmoil in Syria, will prove to be disastrous for the peace and security of the West Asian region, on the other.

Dr. Sudhanshu Tripathi
Asso. Prof., Political Science,
MDPG College, Pratapgarh (UP),
Residence- ABHIRAM House,
Naya Mal Godam Road, Narsinghbhanpur,
Pratapgarh(UP),
Pin- 230001,
INDIA,
Mob: 91-9838137686

The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Monitor.

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