On 1 November, Israel holds an unprecedented fifth election in less than four years, with former Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, vying for a comeback, Reuters reports.
Caught in an election cycle since 2019, the same year in which Netanyahu was indicted for corruption on charges he denies, voters hope to break the deadlock between the most dominant politician of his generation and his many rivals.
Will Netanyahu win?
Remains unclear. Surveys show no sweeping victory for Netanyahu or for his main rival, centrist Prime Minister, Yair Lapid.
![Netanyahu is not ready to step down Cartoon [Sabaaneh/MiddleEastMonitor]](https://i0.wp.com/www.middleeastmonitor.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Untitled-Artwork.jpg?resize=500%2C312&ssl=1)
Netanyahu is not ready to step down – Cartoon [Sabaaneh/MiddleEastMonitor]
In the last four votes, however, Netanyahu failed to lock down the rightist coalition he sought.
Who else is in the race?
Lapid, 58, is a former TV host and Finance Minister who entered politics on the wings of a social-economic protest movement about a decade ago. His “There is a Future” party, second in the polls, has shown some upward momentum. But his camp of allied parties, spanning right to left, is smaller than Netanyahu’s bloc.
Defence Minister, Benny Gantz, heads the centre-right “National Unity”, predicted to win far fewer seats than Netanyahu and Lapid’s parties. But that has not stopped former military chief, Gantz, 63, from proclaiming himself the only candidate who can break the Netanyahu deadlock by forming new alliances and heading a broad government that will extract Israel from four years of unprecedented constitutional crisis.
Who else matters?
Itamar Ben-Gvir. An ultra-nationalist lawmaker, who may be Netanyahu’s kingmaker and test Israel’s foreign relations, if made a minister. Convicted in 2007 of racist incitement and support for a group on both the Israeli and US terrorist blacklists, Ben-Gvir, 46, says he has since matured. A joint ticket of Ben-Gvir’s far-right “Jewish Power” party and other factions is predicted to come in third, and his growing popularity has caused some alarm at home and abroad.
Israel’s Arab minority, whose vote can tip the election. About a fifth of the population and under-represented in Parliament, many in the community identify with or as Palestinians. They have long lamented discrimination and treatment as second class citizens. A low turnout could remove an obstacle to Netanyahu and hand him a clear victory. A high turnout may help Lapid – whose outgoing coalition included an Arab party for the first time in Israel’s history.
Why another election?
Lapid and his coalition partner, Naftali Bennett, ended Netanyahu’s record 12-year consecutive reign in June 2021, by patching together an unlikely
![With elections weeks away, Israel pounds Gaza - Cartoon [Sabaaneh/MiddleEastMonitor]](https://i0.wp.com/www.middleeastmonitor.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/IMG_1241.jpg?resize=455%2C333&ssl=1)
With elections weeks away, Israel pounds Gaza – Cartoon [Sabaaneh/MiddleEastMonitor]
What is this round about?
Netanyahu. While his indictment on bribery, fraud and breach of trust charges has united rivals against him, his loyal base of supporters has been unwavering, clamouring for the comeback of a leader seen as strong and savvy with international clout. Netanyahu’s critics loathe the idea of a man they see as corrupt and destructive returning to the helm, where they fear he will bend Israel’s legal system to avoid conviction.
READ: Netanyahu is seeking Israeli premiership one more time
Netanyahu has been touting his security and economic credentials. But with dim prospects of peace talks with the Palestinians restarting any time soon, and world powers’ nuclear talks with Iran faltering – security and diplomacy have been largely swept aside. According to surveys, soaring living costs are a top concern for Israelis, but with little difference in candidates’ policy, such issues are unlikely to sway voters either way.
The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Monitor.